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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Washington · #78 · B10 · 0–0UCLA · #18 · B10 · 0–0Sat, Jan 16 · 3:00 PM ETBTNPauley Pavilion · Los Angeles, CA
Model line
UCLA −15.0
Win probability
UCLA 94%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
UCLA home
6%Win probability94%

The model makes UCLA a 15.0-point favorite, winning about 94 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Washington offense vs UCLA defense

Washington OStatUCLA D
67.9#209Tempo#30865.8
51.2#187eFG%#12050.3
15.3#94TOV%#8718.3
34.6#59ORB%#30233.1
30.1#309FT rate#15734.2
8.7#127Block%#1489.9
49.4#257Assist%#35863.1
53.4#1122P%#20252.1
31.5#3073P%#6632.0
76.4#44FT%—
34.6#2853PA rate#3744.7

UCLA offense vs Washington defense

UCLA OStatWashington D
65.8#308Tempo#20967.9
53.6#82eFG%#11450.2
13.3#11TOV%#32714.3
31.2#160ORB%#8828.5
32.8#241FT rate#8531.0
8.0#60Block%#8211.2
58.9#45Assist%#9049.1
51.8#1782P%#10250.0
37.9#203P%#16333.6
76.6#40FT%—
35.7#2553PA rate#22738.2

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Washington

Thu, Mar 12NWisconsin35L 82–85
Wed, Mar 11NUSC38W 83–79
Sat, Mar 7AOregon57L 79–85
Wed, Mar 4HUSC38W 91–72
Sat, Feb 28HWisconsin35L 73–90

UCLA

Sun, Mar 22NConnecticut3L 57–73
Fri, Mar 20NUCF58W 75–71
Sat, Mar 14NPurdue29L 66–73
Fri, Mar 13NMichigan St.9W 88–84
Thu, Mar 12NRutgers75W 72–59