Model line
Northwestern −6.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Northwestern 74%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
Northwestern home
26%Win probability74%
The model makes Northwestern a 6.1-point favorite, winning about 74 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Rutgers offense vs Northwestern defense
| Rutgers O | Stat | Northwestern D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#271 | Tempo | #32265.3 |
| 47.5#328 | eFG% | #16151.0 |
| 15.1#70 | TOV% | #12217.5 |
| 29.8#211 | ORB% | #33134.7 |
| 36.1#148 | FT rate | #17234.8 |
| 9.8#225 | Block% | #10910.6 |
| 50.6#230 | Assist% | #36063.8 |
| 46.6#337 | 2P% | #17451.6 |
| 32.8#240 | 3P% | #14433.4 |
| 74.1#129 | FT% | — |
| 34.6#284 | 3PA rate | #15840.2 |
Northwestern offense vs Rutgers defense
| Northwestern O | Stat | Rutgers D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#322 | Tempo | #27166.5 |
| 51.7#164 | eFG% | #27253.0 |
| 13.0#7 | TOV% | #14517.1 |
| 28.1#263 | ORB% | #30033.1 |
| 33.9#213 | FT rate | #9331.4 |
| 6.4#9 | Block% | #1569.7 |
| 65.8#5 | Assist% | #32758.5 |
| 52.9#133 | 2P% | #22152.5 |
| 33.0#230 | 3P% | #29735.8 |
| 75.1#77 | FT% | — |
| 34.0#295 | 3PA rate | #20439.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Rutgers
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Creighton36 | L 69–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | UCLA18 | L 59–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Minnesota63 | W 72–67 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Penn St.90 | W 74–62 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Michigan St.9 | L 87–91 |
Northwestern
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Purdue29 | L 68–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Indiana37 | W 74–61 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Penn St.90 | W 76–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Minnesota63 | L 66–67 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Purdue29 | L 66–70 |
