Model line
Purdue −6.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Purdue 76%
Projected tempo
69.1
possessions
Site
Purdue home
24%Win probability76%
The model makes Purdue a 6.8-point favorite, winning about 76 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Ohio St. offense vs Purdue defense
| Ohio St. O | Stat | Purdue D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.4#280 | Tempo | #32365.3 |
| 56.2#21 | eFG% | #23152.3 |
| 15.3#88 | TOV% | #25115.5 |
| 30.4#186 | ORB% | #2226.3 |
| 37.2#124 | FT rate | #825.4 |
| 8.9#139 | Block% | #1949.1 |
| 52.6#175 | Assist% | #31157.8 |
| 58.0#23 | 2P% | #24853.3 |
| 35.7#75 | 3P% | #18334.0 |
| 77.7#23 | FT% | — |
| 40.1#170 | 3PA rate | #3544.7 |
Purdue offense vs Ohio St. defense
| Purdue O | Stat | Ohio St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#323 | Tempo | #28066.4 |
| 58.1#10 | eFG% | #11250.2 |
| 13.6#17 | TOV% | #24715.6 |
| 36.8#19 | ORB% | #16030.0 |
| 28.3#339 | FT rate | #17134.7 |
| 6.7#14 | Block% | #3117.0 |
| 66.5#4 | Assist% | #21053.3 |
| 58.4#18 | 2P% | #18951.9 |
| 38.5#13 | 3P% | #6231.9 |
| 74.1#128 | FT% | — |
| 40.8#151 | 3PA rate | #15240.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Ohio St.
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | TCU50 | L 64–66 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Michigan24 | L 67–71 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Iowa41 | W 72–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Indiana37 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Penn St.90 | W 94–62 |
Purdue
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Arizona5 | L 64–79 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Texas10 | W 79–77 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Miami FL13 | W 79–69 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Queens182 | W 104–71 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Michigan24 | W 80–72 |
