Model line
Penn St. −6.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Penn St. 77%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Penn St. home
24%Win probability77%
The model makes Penn St. a 6.9-point favorite, winning about 77 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northwestern offense vs Penn St. defense
| Northwestern O | Stat | Penn St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#322 | Tempo | #22367.5 |
| 51.7#164 | eFG% | #36358.4 |
| 13.0#7 | TOV% | #11417.7 |
| 28.1#263 | ORB% | #20831.1 |
| 33.9#213 | FT rate | #2727.5 |
| 6.4#9 | Block% | #3545.2 |
| 65.8#5 | Assist% | #33860.4 |
| 52.9#133 | 2P% | #35758.6 |
| 33.0#230 | 3P% | #36338.8 |
| 75.1#77 | FT% | — |
| 34.0#295 | 3PA rate | #5543.4 |
Penn St. offense vs Northwestern defense
| Penn St. O | Stat | Northwestern D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5#223 | Tempo | #32265.3 |
| 53.0#105 | eFG% | #16151.0 |
| 15.6#114 | TOV% | #12217.5 |
| 25.9#325 | ORB% | #33134.7 |
| 33.8#217 | FT rate | #17234.8 |
| 9.8#224 | Block% | #10910.6 |
| 48.3#280 | Assist% | #36063.8 |
| 55.8#46 | 2P% | #17451.6 |
| 32.4#263 | 3P% | #14433.4 |
| 75.0#83 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#214 | 3PA rate | #15840.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northwestern
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Purdue29 | L 68–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Indiana37 | W 74–61 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Penn St.90 | W 76–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Minnesota63 | L 66–67 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Purdue29 | L 66–70 |
Penn St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Northwestern85 | L 66–76 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Rutgers75 | L 62–74 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Ohio St.26 | L 62–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Iowa41 | W 71–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Nebraska19 | L 64–87 |
