Model line
UCLA −3.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UCLA 66%
Projected tempo
69.1
possessions
Site
UCLA home
34%Win probability66%
The model makes UCLA a 3.9-point favorite, winning about 66 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Michigan St. offense vs UCLA defense
| Michigan St. O | Stat | UCLA D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#246 | Tempo | #30865.8 |
| 54.1#67 | eFG% | #12050.3 |
| 17.2#218 | TOV% | #8718.3 |
| 37.9#9 | ORB% | #30233.1 |
| 36.0#151 | FT rate | #15734.2 |
| 8.0#58 | Block% | #1489.9 |
| 67.9#2 | Assist% | #35863.1 |
| 53.7#93 | 2P% | #20252.1 |
| 36.5#39 | 3P% | #6632.0 |
| 76.5#42 | FT% | — |
| 36.7#236 | 3PA rate | #3744.7 |
UCLA offense vs Michigan St. defense
| UCLA O | Stat | Michigan St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#308 | Tempo | #24667.0 |
| 53.6#82 | eFG% | #5548.7 |
| 13.3#11 | TOV% | #29714.9 |
| 31.2#160 | ORB% | #122.5 |
| 32.8#241 | FT rate | #6530.2 |
| 8.0#60 | Block% | #1713.7 |
| 58.9#45 | Assist% | #29656.5 |
| 51.8#178 | 2P% | #4748.4 |
| 37.9#20 | 3P% | #10132.7 |
| 76.6#40 | FT% | — |
| 35.7#255 | 3PA rate | #2146.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Michigan St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Connecticut3 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Louisville15 | W 77–69 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | North Dakota St.170 | W 92–67 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | UCLA18 | L 84–88 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Michigan24 | L 80–90 |
UCLA
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Connecticut3 | L 57–73 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCF58 | W 75–71 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Purdue29 | L 66–73 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Michigan St.9 | W 88–84 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Rutgers75 | W 72–59 |
