Model line
Iowa −7.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Iowa 78%
Projected tempo
68.3
possessions
Site
Iowa home
22%Win probability78%
The model makes Iowa a 7.3-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Maryland offense vs Iowa defense
| Maryland O | Stat | Iowa D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#256 | Tempo | #36363.1 |
| 48.1#311 | eFG% | #24552.6 |
| 18.6#304 | TOV% | #1520.6 |
| 33.8#73 | ORB% | #6928.1 |
| 36.4#142 | FT rate | #27838.6 |
| 11.6#328 | Block% | #3256.6 |
| 45.2#332 | Assist% | #14851.1 |
| 48.6#295 | 2P% | #26853.8 |
| 31.7#295 | 3P% | #16533.7 |
| 72.2#199 | FT% | — |
| 46.9#34 | 3PA rate | #18539.4 |
Iowa offense vs Maryland defense
| Iowa O | Stat | Maryland D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1#363 | Tempo | #25666.7 |
| 56.3#20 | eFG% | #31154.4 |
| 15.2#81 | TOV% | #29614.9 |
| 30.6#177 | ORB% | #11329.1 |
| 35.3#171 | FT rate | #20535.8 |
| 8.3#73 | Block% | #1909.1 |
| 57.4#65 | Assist% | #34761.2 |
| 58.5#16 | 2P% | #29054.4 |
| 35.5#91 | 3P% | #31836.3 |
| 77.0#34 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#135 | 3PA rate | #6843.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Maryland
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Iowa41 | L 64–75 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Oregon57 | W 70–60 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Illinois7 | L 72–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Wisconsin35 | L 45–78 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Rutgers75 | L 65–69 |
Iowa
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Illinois7 | L 59–71 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Nebraska19 | W 77–71 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Florida2 | W 73–72 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Clemson44 | W 67–61 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Ohio St.26 | L 69–72 |
