Model line
Illinois −11.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Illinois 89%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Illinois home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes Illinois a 11.8-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Ohio St. offense vs Illinois defense
| Ohio St. O | Stat | Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.4#280 | Tempo | #28566.2 |
| 56.2#21 | eFG% | #3247.5 |
| 15.3#88 | TOV% | #36511.7 |
| 30.4#186 | ORB% | #3326.8 |
| 37.2#124 | FT rate | #119.7 |
| 8.9#139 | Block% | #3812.5 |
| 52.6#175 | Assist% | #13050.7 |
| 58.0#23 | 2P% | #4648.3 |
| 35.7#75 | 3P% | #3631.0 |
| 77.7#23 | FT% | — |
| 40.1#170 | 3PA rate | #8342.5 |
Illinois offense vs Ohio St. defense
| Illinois O | Stat | Ohio St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#285 | Tempo | #28066.4 |
| 55.3#35 | eFG% | #11250.2 |
| 13.0#6 | TOV% | #24715.6 |
| 39.2#3 | ORB% | #16030.0 |
| 32.7#245 | FT rate | #17134.7 |
| 8.4#92 | Block% | #3117.0 |
| 50.9#219 | Assist% | #21053.3 |
| 58.1#20 | 2P% | #18951.9 |
| 35.0#114 | 3P% | #6231.9 |
| 78.4#13 | FT% | — |
| 50.4#15 | 3PA rate | #15240.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Ohio St.
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | TCU50 | L 64–66 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Michigan24 | L 67–71 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Iowa41 | W 72–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Indiana37 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Penn St.90 | W 94–62 |
Illinois
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Connecticut3 | L 62–71 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Iowa41 | W 71–59 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Houston4 | W 65–55 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | VCU53 | W 76–55 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Penn123 | W 105–70 |
