Model line
Rutgers −2.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Rutgers 59%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Rutgers home
41%Win probability59%
The model makes Rutgers a 2.1-point favorite, winning about 59 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
USC offense vs Rutgers defense
| USC O | Stat | Rutgers D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#54 | Tempo | #27166.5 |
| 50.4#224 | eFG% | #27253.0 |
| 17.4#232 | TOV% | #14517.1 |
| 32.4#111 | ORB% | #30033.1 |
| 44.2#9 | FT rate | #9331.4 |
| 8.3#85 | Block% | #1569.7 |
| 56.5#81 | Assist% | #32758.5 |
| 51.8#179 | 2P% | #22152.5 |
| 31.7#299 | 3P% | #29735.8 |
| 72.6#183 | FT% | — |
| 34.1#292 | 3PA rate | #20439.0 |
Rutgers offense vs USC defense
| Rutgers O | Stat | USC D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#271 | Tempo | #5471.0 |
| 47.5#328 | eFG% | #8849.7 |
| 15.1#70 | TOV% | #20316.3 |
| 29.8#211 | ORB% | #27032.2 |
| 36.1#148 | FT rate | #13833.4 |
| 9.8#225 | Block% | #1214.9 |
| 50.6#230 | Assist% | #22854.1 |
| 46.6#337 | 2P% | #19852.0 |
| 32.8#240 | 3P% | #3430.9 |
| 74.1#129 | FT% | — |
| 34.6#284 | 3PA rate | #14840.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
USC
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Washington78 | L 79–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UCLA18 | L 68–89 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Washington78 | L 72–91 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska19 | L 67–82 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | UCLA18 | L 62–81 |
Rutgers
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Creighton36 | L 69–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | UCLA18 | L 59–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Minnesota63 | W 72–67 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Penn St.90 | W 74–62 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Michigan St.9 | L 87–91 |
