Model line
Ohio St. −14.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Ohio St. 94%
Projected tempo
69.3
possessions
Site
Ohio St. home
6%Win probability94%
The model makes Ohio St. a 14.7-point favorite, winning about 94 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northwestern offense vs Ohio St. defense
| Northwestern O | Stat | Ohio St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#322 | Tempo | #28066.4 |
| 51.7#164 | eFG% | #11250.2 |
| 13.0#7 | TOV% | #24715.6 |
| 28.1#263 | ORB% | #16030.0 |
| 33.9#213 | FT rate | #17134.7 |
| 6.4#9 | Block% | #3117.0 |
| 65.8#5 | Assist% | #21053.3 |
| 52.9#133 | 2P% | #18951.9 |
| 33.0#230 | 3P% | #6231.9 |
| 75.1#77 | FT% | — |
| 34.0#295 | 3PA rate | #15240.3 |
Ohio St. offense vs Northwestern defense
| Ohio St. O | Stat | Northwestern D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.4#280 | Tempo | #32265.3 |
| 56.2#21 | eFG% | #16151.0 |
| 15.3#88 | TOV% | #12217.5 |
| 30.4#186 | ORB% | #33134.7 |
| 37.2#124 | FT rate | #17234.8 |
| 8.9#139 | Block% | #10910.6 |
| 52.6#175 | Assist% | #36063.8 |
| 58.0#23 | 2P% | #17451.6 |
| 35.7#75 | 3P% | #14433.4 |
| 77.7#23 | FT% | — |
| 40.1#170 | 3PA rate | #15840.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northwestern
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Purdue29 | L 68–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Indiana37 | W 74–61 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Penn St.90 | W 76–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Minnesota63 | L 66–67 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Purdue29 | L 66–70 |
Ohio St.
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | TCU50 | L 64–66 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Michigan24 | L 67–71 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Iowa41 | W 72–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Indiana37 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Penn St.90 | W 94–62 |
