Model line
Nebraska −8.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Nebraska 80%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Nebraska home
20%Win probability80%
The model makes Nebraska a 8.0-point favorite, winning about 80 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Michigan offense vs Nebraska defense
| Michigan O | Stat | Nebraska D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#41 | Tempo | #24767.0 |
| 58.7#6 | eFG% | #3647.7 |
| 16.5#165 | TOV% | #4219.2 |
| 35.0#47 | ORB% | #5527.7 |
| 37.7#109 | FT rate | #725.2 |
| 9.0#145 | Block% | #2408.4 |
| 61.1#25 | Assist% | #34560.9 |
| 61.5#2 | 2P% | #11350.3 |
| 36.6#36 | 3P% | #830.1 |
| 74.7#94 | FT% | — |
| 41.7#140 | 3PA rate | #550.0 |
Nebraska offense vs Michigan defense
| Nebraska O | Stat | Michigan D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#247 | Tempo | #4171.3 |
| 55.6#27 | eFG% | #345.2 |
| 14.4#38 | TOV% | #26515.3 |
| 26.4#314 | ORB% | #4027.1 |
| 26.4#356 | FT rate | #1526.2 |
| 9.3#163 | Block% | #316.5 |
| 65.5#6 | Assist% | #5447.3 |
| 58.1#21 | 2P% | #444.5 |
| 35.5#92 | 3P% | #3130.8 |
| 75.2#74 | FT% | — |
| 50.7#11 | 3PA rate | #9242.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Michigan
| Mon, Apr 6 | N | Connecticut3 | W 69–63 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Arizona5 | W 91–73 |
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Tennessee11 | W 95–62 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Alabama16 | W 90–77 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Saint Louis60 | W 95–72 |
Nebraska
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Iowa41 | L 71–77 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Vanderbilt21 | W 74–72 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Troy152 | W 76–47 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Purdue29 | L 58–74 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Iowa41 | W 84–75 |
