Model line
Michigan St. −18.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Michigan St. 97%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Michigan St. home
3%Win probability97%
The model makes Michigan St. a 18.2-point favorite, winning about 97 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Washington offense vs Michigan St. defense
| Washington O | Stat | Michigan St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#209 | Tempo | #24667.0 |
| 51.2#187 | eFG% | #5548.7 |
| 15.3#94 | TOV% | #29714.9 |
| 34.6#59 | ORB% | #122.5 |
| 30.1#309 | FT rate | #6530.2 |
| 8.7#127 | Block% | #1713.7 |
| 49.4#257 | Assist% | #29656.5 |
| 53.4#112 | 2P% | #4748.4 |
| 31.5#307 | 3P% | #10132.7 |
| 76.4#44 | FT% | — |
| 34.6#285 | 3PA rate | #2146.3 |
Michigan St. offense vs Washington defense
| Michigan St. O | Stat | Washington D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#246 | Tempo | #20967.9 |
| 54.1#67 | eFG% | #11450.2 |
| 17.2#218 | TOV% | #32714.3 |
| 37.9#9 | ORB% | #8828.5 |
| 36.0#151 | FT rate | #8531.0 |
| 8.0#58 | Block% | #8211.2 |
| 67.9#2 | Assist% | #9049.1 |
| 53.7#93 | 2P% | #10250.0 |
| 36.5#39 | 3P% | #16333.6 |
| 76.5#42 | FT% | — |
| 36.7#236 | 3PA rate | #22738.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Washington
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Wisconsin35 | L 82–85 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | USC38 | W 83–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Oregon57 | L 79–85 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | USC38 | W 91–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Wisconsin35 | L 73–90 |
Michigan St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Connecticut3 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Louisville15 | W 77–69 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | North Dakota St.170 | W 92–67 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | UCLA18 | L 84–88 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Michigan24 | L 80–90 |
