Model line
Maryland −5.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Maryland 73%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Maryland home
27%Win probability73%
The model makes Maryland a 5.9-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
USC offense vs Maryland defense
| USC O | Stat | Maryland D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#54 | Tempo | #25666.7 |
| 50.4#224 | eFG% | #31154.4 |
| 17.4#232 | TOV% | #29614.9 |
| 32.4#111 | ORB% | #11329.1 |
| 44.2#9 | FT rate | #20535.8 |
| 8.3#85 | Block% | #1909.1 |
| 56.5#81 | Assist% | #34761.2 |
| 51.8#179 | 2P% | #29054.4 |
| 31.7#299 | 3P% | #31836.3 |
| 72.6#183 | FT% | — |
| 34.1#292 | 3PA rate | #6843.1 |
Maryland offense vs USC defense
| Maryland O | Stat | USC D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#256 | Tempo | #5471.0 |
| 48.1#311 | eFG% | #8849.7 |
| 18.6#304 | TOV% | #20316.3 |
| 33.8#73 | ORB% | #27032.2 |
| 36.4#142 | FT rate | #13833.4 |
| 11.6#328 | Block% | #1214.9 |
| 45.2#332 | Assist% | #22854.1 |
| 48.6#295 | 2P% | #19852.0 |
| 31.7#295 | 3P% | #3430.9 |
| 72.2#199 | FT% | — |
| 46.9#34 | 3PA rate | #14840.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
USC
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Washington78 | L 79–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UCLA18 | L 68–89 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Washington78 | L 72–91 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska19 | L 67–82 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | UCLA18 | L 62–81 |
Maryland
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Iowa41 | L 64–75 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Oregon57 | W 70–60 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Illinois7 | L 72–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Wisconsin35 | L 45–78 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Rutgers75 | L 65–69 |
