Model line
Northwestern −4.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Northwestern 68%
Projected tempo
68.1
possessions
Site
Northwestern home
32%Win probability68%
The model makes Northwestern a 4.5-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Minnesota offense vs Northwestern defense
| Minnesota O | Stat | Northwestern D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.0#365 | Tempo | #32265.3 |
| 54.2#63 | eFG% | #16151.0 |
| 16.6#171 | TOV% | #12217.5 |
| 27.2#288 | ORB% | #33134.7 |
| 35.9#155 | FT rate | #17234.8 |
| 12.0#342 | Block% | #10910.6 |
| 72.0#1 | Assist% | #36063.8 |
| 56.0#43 | 2P% | #17451.6 |
| 34.8#130 | 3P% | #14433.4 |
| 70.0#274 | FT% | — |
| 47.1#31 | 3PA rate | #15840.2 |
Northwestern offense vs Minnesota defense
| Northwestern O | Stat | Minnesota D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#322 | Tempo | #36563.0 |
| 51.7#164 | eFG% | #20551.9 |
| 13.0#7 | TOV% | #14217.1 |
| 28.1#263 | ORB% | #14929.8 |
| 33.9#213 | FT rate | #2527.3 |
| 6.4#9 | Block% | #2488.2 |
| 65.8#5 | Assist% | #34961.4 |
| 52.9#133 | 2P% | #17751.7 |
| 33.0#230 | 3P% | #22934.7 |
| 75.1#77 | FT% | — |
| 34.0#295 | 3PA rate | #10441.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Minnesota
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Baylor32 | L 48–67 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Rutgers75 | L 67–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Northwestern85 | W 67–66 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Indiana37 | L 47–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UCLA18 | W 78–73 |
Northwestern
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Purdue29 | L 68–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Indiana37 | W 74–61 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Penn St.90 | W 76–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Minnesota63 | L 66–67 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Purdue29 | L 66–70 |
