Model line
Purdue −14.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Purdue 93%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
Purdue home
7%Win probability93%
The model makes Purdue a 14.2-point favorite, winning about 93 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Rutgers offense vs Purdue defense
| Rutgers O | Stat | Purdue D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#271 | Tempo | #32365.3 |
| 47.5#328 | eFG% | #23152.3 |
| 15.1#70 | TOV% | #25115.5 |
| 29.8#211 | ORB% | #2226.3 |
| 36.1#148 | FT rate | #825.4 |
| 9.8#225 | Block% | #1949.1 |
| 50.6#230 | Assist% | #31157.8 |
| 46.6#337 | 2P% | #24853.3 |
| 32.8#240 | 3P% | #18334.0 |
| 74.1#129 | FT% | — |
| 34.6#284 | 3PA rate | #3544.7 |
Purdue offense vs Rutgers defense
| Purdue O | Stat | Rutgers D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#323 | Tempo | #27166.5 |
| 58.1#10 | eFG% | #27253.0 |
| 13.6#17 | TOV% | #14517.1 |
| 36.8#19 | ORB% | #30033.1 |
| 28.3#339 | FT rate | #9331.4 |
| 6.7#14 | Block% | #1569.7 |
| 66.5#4 | Assist% | #32758.5 |
| 58.4#18 | 2P% | #22152.5 |
| 38.5#13 | 3P% | #29735.8 |
| 74.1#128 | FT% | — |
| 40.8#151 | 3PA rate | #20439.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Rutgers
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Creighton36 | L 69–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | UCLA18 | L 59–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Minnesota63 | W 72–67 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Penn St.90 | W 74–62 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Michigan St.9 | L 87–91 |
Purdue
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Arizona5 | L 64–79 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Texas10 | W 79–77 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Miami FL13 | W 79–69 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Queens182 | W 104–71 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Michigan24 | W 80–72 |
