Model line
Penn St. −3.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Penn St. 65%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Penn St. home
35%Win probability65%
The model makes Penn St. a 3.8-point favorite, winning about 65 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Oregon offense vs Penn St. defense
| Oregon O | Stat | Penn St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#270 | Tempo | #22367.5 |
| 49.5#266 | eFG% | #36358.4 |
| 17.6#247 | TOV% | #11417.7 |
| 32.3#113 | ORB% | #20831.1 |
| 35.0#181 | FT rate | #2727.5 |
| 9.5#188 | Block% | #3545.2 |
| 59.0#43 | Assist% | #33860.4 |
| 50.5#237 | 2P% | #35758.6 |
| 32.1#277 | 3P% | #36338.8 |
| 73.0#170 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#120 | 3PA rate | #5543.4 |
Penn St. offense vs Oregon defense
| Penn St. O | Stat | Oregon D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5#223 | Tempo | #27066.5 |
| 53.0#105 | eFG% | #15350.9 |
| 15.6#114 | TOV% | #23915.7 |
| 25.9#325 | ORB% | #27432.3 |
| 33.8#217 | FT rate | #10532.0 |
| 9.8#224 | Block% | #5911.7 |
| 48.3#280 | Assist% | #19952.9 |
| 55.8#46 | 2P% | #16651.5 |
| 32.4#263 | 3P% | #14633.4 |
| 75.0#83 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#214 | 3PA rate | #9542.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Oregon
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Maryland46 | L 60–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Washington78 | W 85–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Illinois7 | L 54–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northwestern85 | L 62–63 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wisconsin35 | W 85–71 |
Penn St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Northwestern85 | L 66–76 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Rutgers75 | L 62–74 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Ohio St.26 | L 62–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Iowa41 | W 71–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Nebraska19 | L 64–87 |
