Model line
Michigan −15.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Michigan 95%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Michigan home
5%Win probability95%
The model makes Michigan a 15.7-point favorite, winning about 95 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Washington offense vs Michigan defense
| Washington O | Stat | Michigan D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#209 | Tempo | #4171.3 |
| 51.2#187 | eFG% | #345.2 |
| 15.3#94 | TOV% | #26515.3 |
| 34.6#59 | ORB% | #4027.1 |
| 30.1#309 | FT rate | #1526.2 |
| 8.7#127 | Block% | #316.5 |
| 49.4#257 | Assist% | #5447.3 |
| 53.4#112 | 2P% | #444.5 |
| 31.5#307 | 3P% | #3130.8 |
| 76.4#44 | FT% | — |
| 34.6#285 | 3PA rate | #9242.2 |
Michigan offense vs Washington defense
| Michigan O | Stat | Washington D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#41 | Tempo | #20967.9 |
| 58.7#6 | eFG% | #11450.2 |
| 16.5#165 | TOV% | #32714.3 |
| 35.0#47 | ORB% | #8828.5 |
| 37.7#109 | FT rate | #8531.0 |
| 9.0#145 | Block% | #8211.2 |
| 61.1#25 | Assist% | #9049.1 |
| 61.5#2 | 2P% | #10250.0 |
| 36.6#36 | 3P% | #16333.6 |
| 74.7#94 | FT% | — |
| 41.7#140 | 3PA rate | #22738.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Washington
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Wisconsin35 | L 82–85 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | USC38 | W 83–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Oregon57 | L 79–85 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | USC38 | W 91–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Wisconsin35 | L 73–90 |
Michigan
| Mon, Apr 6 | N | Connecticut3 | W 69–63 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Arizona5 | W 91–73 |
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Tennessee11 | W 95–62 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Alabama16 | W 90–77 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Saint Louis60 | W 95–72 |
