Model line
Maryland −4.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Maryland 67%
Projected tempo
69.2
possessions
Site
Maryland home
33%Win probability67%
The model makes Maryland a 4.2-point favorite, winning about 67 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UCLA offense vs Maryland defense
| UCLA O | Stat | Maryland D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#308 | Tempo | #25666.7 |
| 53.6#82 | eFG% | #31154.4 |
| 13.3#11 | TOV% | #29614.9 |
| 31.2#160 | ORB% | #11329.1 |
| 32.8#241 | FT rate | #20535.8 |
| 8.0#60 | Block% | #1909.1 |
| 58.9#45 | Assist% | #34761.2 |
| 51.8#178 | 2P% | #29054.4 |
| 37.9#20 | 3P% | #31836.3 |
| 76.6#40 | FT% | — |
| 35.7#255 | 3PA rate | #6843.1 |
Maryland offense vs UCLA defense
| Maryland O | Stat | UCLA D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#256 | Tempo | #30865.8 |
| 48.1#311 | eFG% | #12050.3 |
| 18.6#304 | TOV% | #8718.3 |
| 33.8#73 | ORB% | #30233.1 |
| 36.4#142 | FT rate | #15734.2 |
| 11.6#328 | Block% | #1489.9 |
| 45.2#332 | Assist% | #35863.1 |
| 48.6#295 | 2P% | #20252.1 |
| 31.7#295 | 3P% | #6632.0 |
| 72.2#199 | FT% | — |
| 46.9#34 | 3PA rate | #3744.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UCLA
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Connecticut3 | L 57–73 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCF58 | W 75–71 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Purdue29 | L 66–73 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Michigan St.9 | W 88–84 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Rutgers75 | W 72–59 |
Maryland
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Iowa41 | L 64–75 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Oregon57 | W 70–60 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Illinois7 | L 72–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Wisconsin35 | L 45–78 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Rutgers75 | L 65–69 |
