Model line
Iowa −4.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Iowa 68%
Projected tempo
68.3
possessions
Site
Iowa home
32%Win probability68%
The model makes Iowa a 4.5-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Ohio St. offense vs Iowa defense
| Ohio St. O | Stat | Iowa D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.4#280 | Tempo | #36363.1 |
| 56.2#21 | eFG% | #24552.6 |
| 15.3#88 | TOV% | #1520.6 |
| 30.4#186 | ORB% | #6928.1 |
| 37.2#124 | FT rate | #27838.6 |
| 8.9#139 | Block% | #3256.6 |
| 52.6#175 | Assist% | #14851.1 |
| 58.0#23 | 2P% | #26853.8 |
| 35.7#75 | 3P% | #16533.7 |
| 77.7#23 | FT% | — |
| 40.1#170 | 3PA rate | #18539.4 |
Iowa offense vs Ohio St. defense
| Iowa O | Stat | Ohio St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1#363 | Tempo | #28066.4 |
| 56.3#20 | eFG% | #11250.2 |
| 15.2#81 | TOV% | #24715.6 |
| 30.6#177 | ORB% | #16030.0 |
| 35.3#171 | FT rate | #17134.7 |
| 8.3#73 | Block% | #3117.0 |
| 57.4#65 | Assist% | #21053.3 |
| 58.5#16 | 2P% | #18951.9 |
| 35.5#91 | 3P% | #6231.9 |
| 77.0#34 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#135 | 3PA rate | #15240.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Ohio St.
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | TCU50 | L 64–66 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Michigan24 | L 67–71 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Iowa41 | W 72–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Indiana37 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Penn St.90 | W 94–62 |
Iowa
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Illinois7 | L 59–71 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Nebraska19 | W 77–71 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Florida2 | W 73–72 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Clemson44 | W 67–61 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Ohio St.26 | L 69–72 |
