Model line
Purdue −9.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Purdue 84%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Purdue home
16%Win probability84%
The model makes Purdue a 9.4-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
USC offense vs Purdue defense
| USC O | Stat | Purdue D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#54 | Tempo | #32365.3 |
| 50.4#224 | eFG% | #23152.3 |
| 17.4#232 | TOV% | #25115.5 |
| 32.4#111 | ORB% | #2226.3 |
| 44.2#9 | FT rate | #825.4 |
| 8.3#85 | Block% | #1949.1 |
| 56.5#81 | Assist% | #31157.8 |
| 51.8#179 | 2P% | #24853.3 |
| 31.7#299 | 3P% | #18334.0 |
| 72.6#183 | FT% | — |
| 34.1#292 | 3PA rate | #3544.7 |
Purdue offense vs USC defense
| Purdue O | Stat | USC D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#323 | Tempo | #5471.0 |
| 58.1#10 | eFG% | #8849.7 |
| 13.6#17 | TOV% | #20316.3 |
| 36.8#19 | ORB% | #27032.2 |
| 28.3#339 | FT rate | #13833.4 |
| 6.7#14 | Block% | #1214.9 |
| 66.5#4 | Assist% | #22854.1 |
| 58.4#18 | 2P% | #19852.0 |
| 38.5#13 | 3P% | #3430.9 |
| 74.1#128 | FT% | — |
| 40.8#151 | 3PA rate | #14840.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
USC
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Washington78 | L 79–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UCLA18 | L 68–89 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Washington78 | L 72–91 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska19 | L 67–82 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | UCLA18 | L 62–81 |
Purdue
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Arizona5 | L 64–79 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Texas10 | W 79–77 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Miami FL13 | W 79–69 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Queens182 | W 104–71 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Michigan24 | W 80–72 |
