Model line
Ohio St. −11.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Ohio St. 89%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Ohio St. home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes Ohio St. a 11.5-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Oregon offense vs Ohio St. defense
| Oregon O | Stat | Ohio St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#270 | Tempo | #28066.4 |
| 49.5#266 | eFG% | #11250.2 |
| 17.6#247 | TOV% | #24715.6 |
| 32.3#113 | ORB% | #16030.0 |
| 35.0#181 | FT rate | #17134.7 |
| 9.5#188 | Block% | #3117.0 |
| 59.0#43 | Assist% | #21053.3 |
| 50.5#237 | 2P% | #18951.9 |
| 32.1#277 | 3P% | #6231.9 |
| 73.0#170 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#120 | 3PA rate | #15240.3 |
Ohio St. offense vs Oregon defense
| Ohio St. O | Stat | Oregon D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.4#280 | Tempo | #27066.5 |
| 56.2#21 | eFG% | #15350.9 |
| 15.3#88 | TOV% | #23915.7 |
| 30.4#186 | ORB% | #27432.3 |
| 37.2#124 | FT rate | #10532.0 |
| 8.9#139 | Block% | #5911.7 |
| 52.6#175 | Assist% | #19952.9 |
| 58.0#23 | 2P% | #16651.5 |
| 35.7#75 | 3P% | #14633.4 |
| 77.7#23 | FT% | — |
| 40.1#170 | 3PA rate | #9542.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Oregon
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Maryland46 | L 60–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Washington78 | W 85–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Illinois7 | L 54–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northwestern85 | L 62–63 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wisconsin35 | W 85–71 |
Ohio St.
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | TCU50 | L 64–66 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Michigan24 | L 67–71 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Iowa41 | W 72–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Indiana37 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Penn St.90 | W 94–62 |
