Model line
Rutgers −1.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Rutgers 56%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Rutgers home
44%Win probability56%
The model makes Rutgers a 1.4-point favorite, winning about 56 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Michigan offense vs Rutgers defense
| Michigan O | Stat | Rutgers D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#41 | Tempo | #27166.5 |
| 58.7#6 | eFG% | #27253.0 |
| 16.5#165 | TOV% | #14517.1 |
| 35.0#47 | ORB% | #30033.1 |
| 37.7#109 | FT rate | #9331.4 |
| 9.0#145 | Block% | #1569.7 |
| 61.1#25 | Assist% | #32758.5 |
| 61.5#2 | 2P% | #22152.5 |
| 36.6#36 | 3P% | #29735.8 |
| 74.7#94 | FT% | — |
| 41.7#140 | 3PA rate | #20439.0 |
Rutgers offense vs Michigan defense
| Rutgers O | Stat | Michigan D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#271 | Tempo | #4171.3 |
| 47.5#328 | eFG% | #345.2 |
| 15.1#70 | TOV% | #26515.3 |
| 29.8#211 | ORB% | #4027.1 |
| 36.1#148 | FT rate | #1526.2 |
| 9.8#225 | Block% | #316.5 |
| 50.6#230 | Assist% | #5447.3 |
| 46.6#337 | 2P% | #444.5 |
| 32.8#240 | 3P% | #3130.8 |
| 74.1#129 | FT% | — |
| 34.6#284 | 3PA rate | #9242.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Michigan
| Mon, Apr 6 | N | Connecticut3 | W 69–63 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Arizona5 | W 91–73 |
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Tennessee11 | W 95–62 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Alabama16 | W 90–77 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Saint Louis60 | W 95–72 |
Rutgers
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Creighton36 | L 69–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | UCLA18 | L 59–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Minnesota63 | W 72–67 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Penn St.90 | W 74–62 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Michigan St.9 | L 87–91 |
