Model line
Wisconsin −3.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Wisconsin 64%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Wisconsin home
36%Win probability64%
The model makes Wisconsin a 3.4-point favorite, winning about 64 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Purdue offense vs Wisconsin defense
| Purdue O | Stat | Wisconsin D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.6#172 | Tempo | #11471.3 |
| 51.8#106 | eFG% | #9648.1 |
| 14.6#64 | TOV% | #5822.5 |
| 22.6#205 | ORB% | #5424.1 |
| 38.2#107 | FT rate | #15040.4 |
| 2.9#32 | Block% | #1279.1 |
| 65.4#54 | Assist% | #1130.4 |
| 61.8#54 | 2P% | #16057.6 |
| 23.8#192 | 3P% | #3121.1 |
| 71.4#101 | FT% | — |
| 38.2#156 | 3PA rate | #17236.5 |
Wisconsin offense vs Purdue defense
| Wisconsin O | Stat | Purdue D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#114 | Tempo | #17268.6 |
| 50.7#122 | eFG% | #10749.1 |
| 14.0#51 | TOV% | #18214.6 |
| 35.9#69 | ORB% | #10729.4 |
| 26.9#174 | FT rate | #22864.2 |
| 7.3#89 | Block% | #1865.4 |
| 64.5#61 | Assist% | #18765.2 |
| 61.0#62 | 2P% | #6845.9 |
| 23.1#201 | 3P% | #17237.5 |
| 38.9#238 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#149 | 3PA rate | #21530.2 |
Team stats from the 2026–27 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Purdue
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Gonzaga15 | L 72–78 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Arizona16 | L 64–79 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Texas6 | W 79–77 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Miami FL23 | W 79–69 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Queens170 | W 104–71 |
Wisconsin
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Denver210 | W 75–68 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | High Point62 | L 82–83 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Michigan29 | L 65–68 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Illinois2 | W 91–88 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Washington83 | W 85–82 |
