Model line
Iowa −7.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Iowa 77%
Projected tempo
68.2
possessions
Site
Iowa home
23%Win probability77%
The model makes Iowa a 7.1-point favorite, winning about 77 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Indiana offense vs Iowa defense
| Indiana O | Stat | Iowa D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#262 | Tempo | #36363.1 |
| 56.1#22 | eFG% | #24552.6 |
| 15.1#69 | TOV% | #1520.6 |
| 26.9#302 | ORB% | #6928.1 |
| 35.0#180 | FT rate | #27838.6 |
| 10.1#246 | Block% | #3256.6 |
| 62.5#13 | Assist% | #14851.1 |
| 60.3#7 | 2P% | #26853.8 |
| 34.7#138 | 3P% | #16533.7 |
| 78.0#18 | FT% | — |
| 50.5#14 | 3PA rate | #18539.4 |
Iowa offense vs Indiana defense
| Iowa O | Stat | Indiana D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1#363 | Tempo | #26266.6 |
| 56.3#20 | eFG% | #6649.0 |
| 15.2#81 | TOV% | #27815.1 |
| 30.6#177 | ORB% | #12429.3 |
| 35.3#171 | FT rate | #23837.0 |
| 8.3#73 | Block% | #2957.4 |
| 57.4#65 | Assist% | #8649.0 |
| 58.5#16 | 2P% | #5348.6 |
| 35.5#91 | 3P% | #12633.1 |
| 77.0#34 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#135 | 3PA rate | #26736.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Indiana
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Northwestern85 | L 61–74 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Ohio St.26 | L 78–91 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Minnesota63 | W 77–47 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Michigan St.9 | L 64–77 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Northwestern85 | L 68–72 |
Iowa
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Illinois7 | L 59–71 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Nebraska19 | W 77–71 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Florida2 | W 73–72 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Clemson44 | W 67–61 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Ohio St.26 | L 69–72 |
