Model line
Oregon −4.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Oregon 68%
Projected tempo
71.5
possessions
Site
Oregon home
32%Win probability68%
The model makes Oregon a 4.5-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
USC offense vs Oregon defense
| USC O | Stat | Oregon D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#54 | Tempo | #27066.5 |
| 50.4#224 | eFG% | #15350.9 |
| 17.4#232 | TOV% | #23915.7 |
| 32.4#111 | ORB% | #27432.3 |
| 44.2#9 | FT rate | #10532.0 |
| 8.3#85 | Block% | #5911.7 |
| 56.5#81 | Assist% | #19952.9 |
| 51.8#179 | 2P% | #16651.5 |
| 31.7#299 | 3P% | #14633.4 |
| 72.6#183 | FT% | — |
| 34.1#292 | 3PA rate | #9542.1 |
Oregon offense vs USC defense
| Oregon O | Stat | USC D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#270 | Tempo | #5471.0 |
| 49.5#266 | eFG% | #8849.7 |
| 17.6#247 | TOV% | #20316.3 |
| 32.3#113 | ORB% | #27032.2 |
| 35.0#181 | FT rate | #13833.4 |
| 9.5#188 | Block% | #1214.9 |
| 59.0#43 | Assist% | #22854.1 |
| 50.5#237 | 2P% | #19852.0 |
| 32.1#277 | 3P% | #3430.9 |
| 73.0#170 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#120 | 3PA rate | #14840.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
USC
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Washington78 | L 79–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UCLA18 | L 68–89 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Washington78 | L 72–91 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska19 | L 67–82 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | UCLA18 | L 62–81 |
Oregon
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Maryland46 | L 60–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Washington78 | W 85–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Illinois7 | L 54–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northwestern85 | L 62–63 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wisconsin35 | W 85–71 |
