Model line
Michigan St. −15.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Michigan St. 95%
Projected tempo
68.7
possessions
Site
Michigan St. home
5%Win probability95%
The model makes Michigan St. a 15.9-point favorite, winning about 95 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Minnesota offense vs Michigan St. defense
| Minnesota O | Stat | Michigan St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.0#365 | Tempo | #24667.0 |
| 54.2#63 | eFG% | #5548.7 |
| 16.6#171 | TOV% | #29714.9 |
| 27.2#288 | ORB% | #122.5 |
| 35.9#155 | FT rate | #6530.2 |
| 12.0#342 | Block% | #1713.7 |
| 72.0#1 | Assist% | #29656.5 |
| 56.0#43 | 2P% | #4748.4 |
| 34.8#130 | 3P% | #10132.7 |
| 70.0#274 | FT% | — |
| 47.1#31 | 3PA rate | #2146.3 |
Michigan St. offense vs Minnesota defense
| Michigan St. O | Stat | Minnesota D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#246 | Tempo | #36563.0 |
| 54.1#67 | eFG% | #20551.9 |
| 17.2#218 | TOV% | #14217.1 |
| 37.9#9 | ORB% | #14929.8 |
| 36.0#151 | FT rate | #2527.3 |
| 8.0#58 | Block% | #2488.2 |
| 67.9#2 | Assist% | #34961.4 |
| 53.7#93 | 2P% | #17751.7 |
| 36.5#39 | 3P% | #22934.7 |
| 76.5#42 | FT% | — |
| 36.7#236 | 3PA rate | #10441.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Minnesota
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Baylor32 | L 48–67 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Rutgers75 | L 67–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Northwestern85 | W 67–66 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Indiana37 | L 47–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UCLA18 | W 78–73 |
Michigan St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Connecticut3 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Louisville15 | W 77–69 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | North Dakota St.170 | W 92–67 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | UCLA18 | L 84–88 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Michigan24 | L 80–90 |
