Model line
Northwestern −1.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Northwestern 57%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Northwestern home
43%Win probability57%
The model makes Northwestern a 1.7-point favorite, winning about 57 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Wisconsin offense vs Northwestern defense
| Wisconsin O | Stat | Northwestern D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#151 | Tempo | #32265.3 |
| 54.5#54 | eFG% | #16151.0 |
| 12.8#4 | TOV% | #12217.5 |
| 29.1#234 | ORB% | #33134.7 |
| 31.5#268 | FT rate | #17234.8 |
| 12.5#349 | Block% | #10910.6 |
| 57.3#67 | Assist% | #36063.8 |
| 54.7#66 | 2P% | #17451.6 |
| 36.2#51 | 3P% | #14433.4 |
| 78.8#8 | FT% | — |
| 52.1#6 | 3PA rate | #15840.2 |
Northwestern offense vs Wisconsin defense
| Northwestern O | Stat | Wisconsin D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#322 | Tempo | #15169.0 |
| 51.7#164 | eFG% | #18351.4 |
| 13.0#7 | TOV% | #32814.3 |
| 28.1#263 | ORB% | #7828.2 |
| 33.9#213 | FT rate | #5629.8 |
| 6.4#9 | Block% | #2228.6 |
| 65.8#5 | Assist% | #14150.8 |
| 52.9#133 | 2P% | #21252.2 |
| 33.0#230 | 3P% | #15033.4 |
| 75.1#77 | FT% | — |
| 34.0#295 | 3PA rate | #14340.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Wisconsin
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | High Point61 | L 82–83 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Michigan24 | L 65–68 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Illinois7 | W 91–88 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Washington78 | W 85–82 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Purdue29 | W 97–93 |
Northwestern
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Purdue29 | L 68–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Indiana37 | W 74–61 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Penn St.90 | W 76–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Minnesota63 | L 66–67 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Purdue29 | L 66–70 |
