Model line
Purdue −9.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Purdue 84%
Projected tempo
67.6
possessions
Site
Purdue home
16%Win probability84%
The model makes Purdue a 9.5-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Iowa offense vs Purdue defense
| Iowa O | Stat | Purdue D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1#363 | Tempo | #32365.3 |
| 56.3#20 | eFG% | #23152.3 |
| 15.2#81 | TOV% | #25115.5 |
| 30.6#177 | ORB% | #2226.3 |
| 35.3#171 | FT rate | #825.4 |
| 8.3#73 | Block% | #1949.1 |
| 57.4#65 | Assist% | #31157.8 |
| 58.5#16 | 2P% | #24853.3 |
| 35.5#91 | 3P% | #18334.0 |
| 77.0#34 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#135 | 3PA rate | #3544.7 |
Purdue offense vs Iowa defense
| Purdue O | Stat | Iowa D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#323 | Tempo | #36363.1 |
| 58.1#10 | eFG% | #24552.6 |
| 13.6#17 | TOV% | #1520.6 |
| 36.8#19 | ORB% | #6928.1 |
| 28.3#339 | FT rate | #27838.6 |
| 6.7#14 | Block% | #3256.6 |
| 66.5#4 | Assist% | #14851.1 |
| 58.4#18 | 2P% | #26853.8 |
| 38.5#13 | 3P% | #16533.7 |
| 74.1#128 | FT% | — |
| 40.8#151 | 3PA rate | #18539.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Iowa
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Illinois7 | L 59–71 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Nebraska19 | W 77–71 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Florida2 | W 73–72 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Clemson44 | W 67–61 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Ohio St.26 | L 69–72 |
Purdue
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Arizona5 | L 64–79 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Texas10 | W 79–77 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Miami FL13 | W 79–69 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Queens182 | W 104–71 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Michigan24 | W 80–72 |
