Model line
Michigan St. −11.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Michigan St. 88%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Michigan St. home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes Michigan St. a 11.0-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Wisconsin offense vs Michigan St. defense
| Wisconsin O | Stat | Michigan St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#151 | Tempo | #24667.0 |
| 54.5#54 | eFG% | #5548.7 |
| 12.8#4 | TOV% | #29714.9 |
| 29.1#234 | ORB% | #122.5 |
| 31.5#268 | FT rate | #6530.2 |
| 12.5#349 | Block% | #1713.7 |
| 57.3#67 | Assist% | #29656.5 |
| 54.7#66 | 2P% | #4748.4 |
| 36.2#51 | 3P% | #10132.7 |
| 78.8#8 | FT% | — |
| 52.1#6 | 3PA rate | #2146.3 |
Michigan St. offense vs Wisconsin defense
| Michigan St. O | Stat | Wisconsin D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#246 | Tempo | #15169.0 |
| 54.1#67 | eFG% | #18351.4 |
| 17.2#218 | TOV% | #32814.3 |
| 37.9#9 | ORB% | #7828.2 |
| 36.0#151 | FT rate | #5629.8 |
| 8.0#58 | Block% | #2228.6 |
| 67.9#2 | Assist% | #14150.8 |
| 53.7#93 | 2P% | #21252.2 |
| 36.5#39 | 3P% | #15033.4 |
| 76.5#42 | FT% | — |
| 36.7#236 | 3PA rate | #14340.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Wisconsin
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | High Point61 | L 82–83 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Michigan24 | L 65–68 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Illinois7 | W 91–88 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Washington78 | W 85–82 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Purdue29 | W 97–93 |
Michigan St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Connecticut3 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Louisville15 | W 77–69 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | North Dakota St.170 | W 92–67 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | UCLA18 | L 84–88 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Michigan24 | L 80–90 |
