Model line
Wisconsin −5.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Wisconsin 72%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Wisconsin home
28%Win probability72%
The model makes Wisconsin a 5.5-point favorite, winning about 72 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Nebraska offense vs Wisconsin defense
| Nebraska O | Stat | Wisconsin D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#247 | Tempo | #15169.0 |
| 55.6#27 | eFG% | #18351.4 |
| 14.4#38 | TOV% | #32814.3 |
| 26.4#314 | ORB% | #7828.2 |
| 26.4#356 | FT rate | #5629.8 |
| 9.3#163 | Block% | #2228.6 |
| 65.5#6 | Assist% | #14150.8 |
| 58.1#21 | 2P% | #21252.2 |
| 35.5#92 | 3P% | #15033.4 |
| 75.2#74 | FT% | — |
| 50.7#11 | 3PA rate | #14340.6 |
Wisconsin offense vs Nebraska defense
| Wisconsin O | Stat | Nebraska D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#151 | Tempo | #24767.0 |
| 54.5#54 | eFG% | #3647.7 |
| 12.8#4 | TOV% | #4219.2 |
| 29.1#234 | ORB% | #5527.7 |
| 31.5#268 | FT rate | #725.2 |
| 12.5#349 | Block% | #2408.4 |
| 57.3#67 | Assist% | #34560.9 |
| 54.7#66 | 2P% | #11350.3 |
| 36.2#51 | 3P% | #830.1 |
| 78.8#8 | FT% | — |
| 52.1#6 | 3PA rate | #550.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Nebraska
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Iowa41 | L 71–77 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Vanderbilt21 | W 74–72 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Troy152 | W 76–47 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Purdue29 | L 58–74 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Iowa41 | W 84–75 |
Wisconsin
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | High Point61 | L 82–83 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Michigan24 | L 65–68 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Illinois7 | W 91–88 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Washington78 | W 85–82 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Purdue29 | W 97–93 |
