Model line
Wisconsin −10.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Wisconsin 87%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Wisconsin home
13%Win probability87%
The model makes Wisconsin a 10.7-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Oregon offense vs Wisconsin defense
| Oregon O | Stat | Wisconsin D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#270 | Tempo | #15169.0 |
| 49.5#266 | eFG% | #18351.4 |
| 17.6#247 | TOV% | #32814.3 |
| 32.3#113 | ORB% | #7828.2 |
| 35.0#181 | FT rate | #5629.8 |
| 9.5#188 | Block% | #2228.6 |
| 59.0#43 | Assist% | #14150.8 |
| 50.5#237 | 2P% | #21252.2 |
| 32.1#277 | 3P% | #15033.4 |
| 73.0#170 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#120 | 3PA rate | #14340.6 |
Wisconsin offense vs Oregon defense
| Wisconsin O | Stat | Oregon D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#151 | Tempo | #27066.5 |
| 54.5#54 | eFG% | #15350.9 |
| 12.8#4 | TOV% | #23915.7 |
| 29.1#234 | ORB% | #27432.3 |
| 31.5#268 | FT rate | #10532.0 |
| 12.5#349 | Block% | #5911.7 |
| 57.3#67 | Assist% | #19952.9 |
| 54.7#66 | 2P% | #16651.5 |
| 36.2#51 | 3P% | #14633.4 |
| 78.8#8 | FT% | — |
| 52.1#6 | 3PA rate | #9542.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Oregon
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Maryland46 | L 60–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Washington78 | W 85–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Illinois7 | L 54–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northwestern85 | L 62–63 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wisconsin35 | W 85–71 |
Wisconsin
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | High Point61 | L 82–83 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Michigan24 | L 65–68 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Illinois7 | W 91–88 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Washington78 | W 85–82 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Purdue29 | W 97–93 |
