Model line
Maryland −5.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Maryland 72%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Maryland home
28%Win probability72%
The model makes Maryland a 5.6-point favorite, winning about 72 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Wisconsin offense vs Maryland defense
| Wisconsin O | Stat | Maryland D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#151 | Tempo | #25666.7 |
| 54.5#54 | eFG% | #31154.4 |
| 12.8#4 | TOV% | #29614.9 |
| 29.1#234 | ORB% | #11329.1 |
| 31.5#268 | FT rate | #20535.8 |
| 12.5#349 | Block% | #1909.1 |
| 57.3#67 | Assist% | #34761.2 |
| 54.7#66 | 2P% | #29054.4 |
| 36.2#51 | 3P% | #31836.3 |
| 78.8#8 | FT% | — |
| 52.1#6 | 3PA rate | #6843.1 |
Maryland offense vs Wisconsin defense
| Maryland O | Stat | Wisconsin D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#256 | Tempo | #15169.0 |
| 48.1#311 | eFG% | #18351.4 |
| 18.6#304 | TOV% | #32814.3 |
| 33.8#73 | ORB% | #7828.2 |
| 36.4#142 | FT rate | #5629.8 |
| 11.6#328 | Block% | #2228.6 |
| 45.2#332 | Assist% | #14150.8 |
| 48.6#295 | 2P% | #21252.2 |
| 31.7#295 | 3P% | #15033.4 |
| 72.2#199 | FT% | — |
| 46.9#34 | 3PA rate | #14340.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Wisconsin
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | High Point61 | L 82–83 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Michigan24 | L 65–68 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Illinois7 | W 91–88 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Washington78 | W 85–82 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Purdue29 | W 97–93 |
Maryland
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Iowa41 | L 64–75 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Oregon57 | W 70–60 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Illinois7 | L 72–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Wisconsin35 | L 45–78 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Rutgers75 | L 65–69 |
