Model line
Wisconsin −11.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Wisconsin 89%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Wisconsin home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes Wisconsin a 11.8-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Washington offense vs Wisconsin defense
| Washington O | Stat | Wisconsin D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#209 | Tempo | #15169.0 |
| 51.2#187 | eFG% | #18351.4 |
| 15.3#94 | TOV% | #32814.3 |
| 34.6#59 | ORB% | #7828.2 |
| 30.1#309 | FT rate | #5629.8 |
| 8.7#127 | Block% | #2228.6 |
| 49.4#257 | Assist% | #14150.8 |
| 53.4#112 | 2P% | #21252.2 |
| 31.5#307 | 3P% | #15033.4 |
| 76.4#44 | FT% | — |
| 34.6#285 | 3PA rate | #14340.6 |
Wisconsin offense vs Washington defense
| Wisconsin O | Stat | Washington D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#151 | Tempo | #20967.9 |
| 54.5#54 | eFG% | #11450.2 |
| 12.8#4 | TOV% | #32714.3 |
| 29.1#234 | ORB% | #8828.5 |
| 31.5#268 | FT rate | #8531.0 |
| 12.5#349 | Block% | #8211.2 |
| 57.3#67 | Assist% | #9049.1 |
| 54.7#66 | 2P% | #10250.0 |
| 36.2#51 | 3P% | #16333.6 |
| 78.8#8 | FT% | — |
| 52.1#6 | 3PA rate | #22738.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Washington
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Wisconsin35 | L 82–85 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | USC38 | W 83–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Oregon57 | L 79–85 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | USC38 | W 91–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Wisconsin35 | L 73–90 |
Wisconsin
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | High Point61 | L 82–83 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Michigan24 | L 65–68 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Illinois7 | W 91–88 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Washington78 | W 85–82 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Purdue29 | W 97–93 |
