Model line
UCLA −8.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UCLA 82%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
UCLA home
18%Win probability82%
The model makes UCLA a 8.7-point favorite, winning about 82 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Wisconsin offense vs UCLA defense
| Wisconsin O | Stat | UCLA D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#151 | Tempo | #30865.8 |
| 54.5#54 | eFG% | #12050.3 |
| 12.8#4 | TOV% | #8718.3 |
| 29.1#234 | ORB% | #30233.1 |
| 31.5#268 | FT rate | #15734.2 |
| 12.5#349 | Block% | #1489.9 |
| 57.3#67 | Assist% | #35863.1 |
| 54.7#66 | 2P% | #20252.1 |
| 36.2#51 | 3P% | #6632.0 |
| 78.8#8 | FT% | — |
| 52.1#6 | 3PA rate | #3744.7 |
UCLA offense vs Wisconsin defense
| UCLA O | Stat | Wisconsin D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#308 | Tempo | #15169.0 |
| 53.6#82 | eFG% | #18351.4 |
| 13.3#11 | TOV% | #32814.3 |
| 31.2#160 | ORB% | #7828.2 |
| 32.8#241 | FT rate | #5629.8 |
| 8.0#60 | Block% | #2228.6 |
| 58.9#45 | Assist% | #14150.8 |
| 51.8#178 | 2P% | #21252.2 |
| 37.9#20 | 3P% | #15033.4 |
| 76.6#40 | FT% | — |
| 35.7#255 | 3PA rate | #14340.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Wisconsin
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | High Point61 | L 82–83 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Michigan24 | L 65–68 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Illinois7 | W 91–88 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Washington78 | W 85–82 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Purdue29 | W 97–93 |
UCLA
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Connecticut3 | L 57–73 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCF58 | W 75–71 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Purdue29 | L 66–73 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Michigan St.9 | W 88–84 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Rutgers75 | W 72–59 |
