Model line
USC −6.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
USC 76%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
USC home
24%Win probability76%
The model makes USC a 6.6-point favorite, winning about 76 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Wisconsin offense vs USC defense
| Wisconsin O | Stat | USC D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#151 | Tempo | #5471.0 |
| 54.5#54 | eFG% | #8849.7 |
| 12.8#4 | TOV% | #20316.3 |
| 29.1#234 | ORB% | #27032.2 |
| 31.5#268 | FT rate | #13833.4 |
| 12.5#349 | Block% | #1214.9 |
| 57.3#67 | Assist% | #22854.1 |
| 54.7#66 | 2P% | #19852.0 |
| 36.2#51 | 3P% | #3430.9 |
| 78.8#8 | FT% | — |
| 52.1#6 | 3PA rate | #14840.4 |
USC offense vs Wisconsin defense
| USC O | Stat | Wisconsin D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#54 | Tempo | #15169.0 |
| 50.4#224 | eFG% | #18351.4 |
| 17.4#232 | TOV% | #32814.3 |
| 32.4#111 | ORB% | #7828.2 |
| 44.2#9 | FT rate | #5629.8 |
| 8.3#85 | Block% | #2228.6 |
| 56.5#81 | Assist% | #14150.8 |
| 51.8#179 | 2P% | #21252.2 |
| 31.7#299 | 3P% | #15033.4 |
| 72.6#183 | FT% | — |
| 34.1#292 | 3PA rate | #14340.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Wisconsin
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | High Point61 | L 82–83 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Michigan24 | L 65–68 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Illinois7 | W 91–88 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Washington78 | W 85–82 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Purdue29 | W 97–93 |
USC
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Washington78 | L 79–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UCLA18 | L 68–89 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Washington78 | L 72–91 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska19 | L 67–82 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | UCLA18 | L 62–81 |
