Model line
Wisconsin −14.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Wisconsin 93%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Wisconsin home
7%Win probability93%
The model makes Wisconsin a 14.0-point favorite, winning about 93 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Penn St. offense vs Wisconsin defense
| Penn St. O | Stat | Wisconsin D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5#223 | Tempo | #15169.0 |
| 53.0#105 | eFG% | #18351.4 |
| 15.6#114 | TOV% | #32814.3 |
| 25.9#325 | ORB% | #7828.2 |
| 33.8#217 | FT rate | #5629.8 |
| 9.8#224 | Block% | #2228.6 |
| 48.3#280 | Assist% | #14150.8 |
| 55.8#46 | 2P% | #21252.2 |
| 32.4#263 | 3P% | #15033.4 |
| 75.0#83 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#214 | 3PA rate | #14340.6 |
Wisconsin offense vs Penn St. defense
| Wisconsin O | Stat | Penn St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#151 | Tempo | #22367.5 |
| 54.5#54 | eFG% | #36358.4 |
| 12.8#4 | TOV% | #11417.7 |
| 29.1#234 | ORB% | #20831.1 |
| 31.5#268 | FT rate | #2727.5 |
| 12.5#349 | Block% | #3545.2 |
| 57.3#67 | Assist% | #33860.4 |
| 54.7#66 | 2P% | #35758.6 |
| 36.2#51 | 3P% | #36338.8 |
| 78.8#8 | FT% | — |
| 52.1#6 | 3PA rate | #5543.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Penn St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Northwestern85 | L 66–76 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Rutgers75 | L 62–74 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Ohio St.26 | L 62–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Iowa41 | W 71–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Nebraska19 | L 64–87 |
Wisconsin
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | High Point61 | L 82–83 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Michigan24 | L 65–68 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Illinois7 | W 91–88 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Washington78 | W 85–82 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Purdue29 | W 97–93 |
