Model line
Wisconsin −10.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Wisconsin 87%
Projected tempo
69.3
possessions
Site
Wisconsin home
13%Win probability87%
The model makes Wisconsin a 10.6-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Minnesota offense vs Wisconsin defense
| Minnesota O | Stat | Wisconsin D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.0#365 | Tempo | #15169.0 |
| 54.2#63 | eFG% | #18351.4 |
| 16.6#171 | TOV% | #32814.3 |
| 27.2#288 | ORB% | #7828.2 |
| 35.9#155 | FT rate | #5629.8 |
| 12.0#342 | Block% | #2228.6 |
| 72.0#1 | Assist% | #14150.8 |
| 56.0#43 | 2P% | #21252.2 |
| 34.8#130 | 3P% | #15033.4 |
| 70.0#274 | FT% | — |
| 47.1#31 | 3PA rate | #14340.6 |
Wisconsin offense vs Minnesota defense
| Wisconsin O | Stat | Minnesota D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#151 | Tempo | #36563.0 |
| 54.5#54 | eFG% | #20551.9 |
| 12.8#4 | TOV% | #14217.1 |
| 29.1#234 | ORB% | #14929.8 |
| 31.5#268 | FT rate | #2527.3 |
| 12.5#349 | Block% | #2488.2 |
| 57.3#67 | Assist% | #34961.4 |
| 54.7#66 | 2P% | #17751.7 |
| 36.2#51 | 3P% | #22934.7 |
| 78.8#8 | FT% | — |
| 52.1#6 | 3PA rate | #10441.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Minnesota
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Baylor32 | L 48–67 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Rutgers75 | L 67–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Northwestern85 | W 67–66 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Indiana37 | L 47–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UCLA18 | W 78–73 |
Wisconsin
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | High Point61 | L 82–83 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Michigan24 | L 65–68 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Illinois7 | W 91–88 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Washington78 | W 85–82 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Purdue29 | W 97–93 |
