Model line
Iowa −5.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Iowa 71%
Projected tempo
68.9
possessions
Site
Iowa home
29%Win probability71%
The model makes Iowa a 5.2-point favorite, winning about 71 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Wisconsin offense vs Iowa defense
| Wisconsin O | Stat | Iowa D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#151 | Tempo | #36363.1 |
| 54.5#54 | eFG% | #24552.6 |
| 12.8#4 | TOV% | #1520.6 |
| 29.1#234 | ORB% | #6928.1 |
| 31.5#268 | FT rate | #27838.6 |
| 12.5#349 | Block% | #3256.6 |
| 57.3#67 | Assist% | #14851.1 |
| 54.7#66 | 2P% | #26853.8 |
| 36.2#51 | 3P% | #16533.7 |
| 78.8#8 | FT% | — |
| 52.1#6 | 3PA rate | #18539.4 |
Iowa offense vs Wisconsin defense
| Iowa O | Stat | Wisconsin D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1#363 | Tempo | #15169.0 |
| 56.3#20 | eFG% | #18351.4 |
| 15.2#81 | TOV% | #32814.3 |
| 30.6#177 | ORB% | #7828.2 |
| 35.3#171 | FT rate | #5629.8 |
| 8.3#73 | Block% | #2228.6 |
| 57.4#65 | Assist% | #14150.8 |
| 58.5#16 | 2P% | #21252.2 |
| 35.5#91 | 3P% | #15033.4 |
| 77.0#34 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#135 | 3PA rate | #14340.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Wisconsin
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | High Point61 | L 82–83 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Michigan24 | L 65–68 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Illinois7 | W 91–88 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Washington78 | W 85–82 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Purdue29 | W 97–93 |
Iowa
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Illinois7 | L 59–71 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Nebraska19 | W 77–71 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Florida2 | W 73–72 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Clemson44 | W 67–61 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Ohio St.26 | L 69–72 |
