Model line
Missouri −32.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Missouri >99%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Missouri home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Missouri a 32.6-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Evansville offense vs Missouri defense
| Evansville O | Stat | Missouri D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#227 | Tempo | #18768.3 |
| 49.3#276 | eFG% | #18751.5 |
| 19.1#323 | TOV% | #18616.5 |
| 22.0#355 | ORB% | #24231.7 |
| 29.8#316 | FT rate | #19735.5 |
| 7.1#17 | Block% | #10810.6 |
| 54.3#132 | Assist% | #18152.5 |
| 49.9#256 | 2P% | #5548.7 |
| 32.2#268 | 3P% | #34136.8 |
| 73.6#147 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#111 | 3PA rate | #7243.0 |
Missouri offense vs Evansville defense
| Missouri O | Stat | Evansville D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#187 | Tempo | #22767.4 |
| 55.0#39 | eFG% | #33455.1 |
| 17.8#260 | TOV% | #25915.4 |
| 34.9#50 | ORB% | #17130.2 |
| 42.1#29 | FT rate | #9031.4 |
| 9.7#210 | Block% | #13510.0 |
| 51.2#211 | Assist% | #31858.0 |
| 56.4#40 | 2P% | #27754.0 |
| 35.0#116 | 3P% | #35137.6 |
| 69.1#296 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#241 | 3PA rate | #6243.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Evansville
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 59–68 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Southern Illinois172 | L 67–81 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Valparaiso142 | W 80–79 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Belmont130 | L 64–98 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Murray St.97 | L 75–88 |
Missouri
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Miami FL13 | L 66–80 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kentucky20 | L 72–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Arkansas23 | L 84–88 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Oklahoma22 | L 64–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Mississippi St.70 | W 88–64 |
