Model line
LSU −23.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
LSU 99%
Projected tempo
69.3
possessions
Site
LSU home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes LSU a 23.2-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Louisiana offense vs LSU defense
| Louisiana O | Stat | LSU D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.1#354 | Tempo | #16468.7 |
| 47.1#335 | eFG% | #15050.9 |
| 16.8#182 | TOV% | #34013.9 |
| 28.3#255 | ORB% | #24131.7 |
| 28.7#335 | FT rate | #25637.8 |
| 8.0#57 | Block% | #12310.3 |
| 45.9#318 | Assist% | #3746.3 |
| 44.8#356 | 2P% | #8049.5 |
| 33.6#191 | 3P% | #27335.4 |
| 70.4#257 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#157 | 3PA rate | #23937.9 |
LSU offense vs Louisiana defense
| LSU O | Stat | Louisiana D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.7#164 | Tempo | #35464.1 |
| 52.8#110 | eFG% | #24652.6 |
| 15.6#111 | TOV% | #8418.3 |
| 33.1#88 | ORB% | #27232.3 |
| 40.9#51 | FT rate | #35245.8 |
| 8.3#74 | Block% | #9710.8 |
| 52.5#180 | Assist% | #10449.7 |
| 54.5#73 | 2P% | #20852.2 |
| 33.1#223 | 3P% | #28935.6 |
| 76.4#43 | FT% | — |
| 34.5#286 | 3PA rate | #28136.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Louisiana
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | James Madison143 | L 72–87 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | N | Georgia St.205 | W 84–75 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Arkansas St.186 | L 58–81 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Troy152 | L 59–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Texas St.113 | W 67–54 |
LSU
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Kentucky20 | L 82–87 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Texas A&M33 | L 91–94 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Auburn27 | L 74–88 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oklahoma22 | L 67–83 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Ole Miss49 | W 106–99 |
