Model line
Kentucky −33.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Kentucky >99%
Projected tempo
69.1
possessions
Site
Kentucky home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Kentucky a 33.1-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Appalachian St. offense vs Kentucky defense
| Appalachian St. O | Stat | Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.1#352 | Tempo | #10269.7 |
| 49.9#238 | eFG% | #5848.8 |
| 15.3#84 | TOV% | #23615.7 |
| 32.0#122 | ORB% | #16430.1 |
| 39.1#78 | FT rate | #22036.3 |
| 8.8#128 | Block% | #2912.8 |
| 47.8#292 | Assist% | #25955.2 |
| 53.6#98 | 2P% | #7949.5 |
| 30.4#335 | 3P% | #5531.8 |
| 64.5#362 | FT% | — |
| 45.9#47 | 3PA rate | #16839.7 |
Kentucky offense vs Appalachian St. defense
| Kentucky O | Stat | Appalachian St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#102 | Tempo | #35264.1 |
| 53.3#90 | eFG% | #3147.5 |
| 15.0#62 | TOV% | #33414.0 |
| 33.5#78 | ORB% | #9929.0 |
| 37.4#118 | FT rate | #8731.2 |
| 8.6#111 | Block% | #12710.2 |
| 57.0#72 | Assist% | #13450.8 |
| 54.6#68 | 2P% | #2747.0 |
| 34.2#161 | 3P% | #7032.2 |
| 72.7#177 | FT% | — |
| 39.3#185 | 3PA rate | #11241.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Appalachian St.
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Merrimack211 | W 63–49 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Southern Miss236 | L 73–86 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Texas St.113 | L 57–60 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Georgia Southern307 | W 89–74 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Marshall241 | L 93–94 |
Kentucky
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Iowa St.6 | L 63–82 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Santa Clara86 | W 89–84 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Florida2 | L 63–71 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Missouri34 | W 78–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | LSU55 | W 87–82 |
