Model line
Kentucky −38.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Kentucky >99%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Kentucky home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Kentucky a 38.6-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Grambling St. offense vs Kentucky defense
| Grambling St. O | Stat | Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#120 | Tempo | #10269.7 |
| 48.8#295 | eFG% | #5848.8 |
| 21.2#357 | TOV% | #23615.7 |
| 30.3#188 | ORB% | #16430.1 |
| 41.1#47 | FT rate | #22036.3 |
| 13.1#356 | Block% | #2912.8 |
| 51.6#199 | Assist% | #25955.2 |
| 48.9#285 | 2P% | #7949.5 |
| 32.3#265 | 3P% | #5531.8 |
| 72.9#172 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#210 | 3PA rate | #16839.7 |
Kentucky offense vs Grambling St. defense
| Kentucky O | Stat | Grambling St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#102 | Tempo | #12069.4 |
| 53.3#90 | eFG% | #9650.0 |
| 15.0#62 | TOV% | #1220.8 |
| 33.5#78 | ORB% | #28232.5 |
| 37.4#118 | FT rate | #30140.0 |
| 8.6#111 | Block% | #2907.5 |
| 57.0#72 | Assist% | #18652.6 |
| 54.6#68 | 2P% | #11850.5 |
| 34.2#161 | 3P% | #9732.7 |
| 72.7#177 | FT% | — |
| 39.3#185 | 3PA rate | #31235.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Grambling St.
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Northern Illinois278 | W 89–87 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Jackson St.314 | L 65–68 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Mississippi Valley St.365 | W 77–52 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Alabama St.295 | W 65–63 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Alabama A&M313 | L 63–77 |
Kentucky
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Iowa St.6 | L 63–82 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Santa Clara86 | W 89–84 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Florida2 | L 63–71 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Missouri34 | W 78–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | LSU55 | W 87–82 |
