Model line
Kentucky −37.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Kentucky >99%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Kentucky home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Kentucky a 37.0-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northern Arizona offense vs Kentucky defense
| Northern Arizona O | Stat | Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.5#316 | Tempo | #10269.7 |
| 51.7#163 | eFG% | #5848.8 |
| 16.0#141 | TOV% | #23615.7 |
| 23.3#348 | ORB% | #16430.1 |
| 31.8#260 | FT rate | #22036.3 |
| 8.9#138 | Block% | #2912.8 |
| 51.0#217 | Assist% | #25955.2 |
| 50.7#225 | 2P% | #7949.5 |
| 35.6#82 | 3P% | #5531.8 |
| 68.9#301 | FT% | — |
| 36.7#237 | 3PA rate | #16839.7 |
Kentucky offense vs Northern Arizona defense
| Kentucky O | Stat | Northern Arizona D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#102 | Tempo | #31665.5 |
| 53.3#90 | eFG% | #35656.9 |
| 15.0#62 | TOV% | #18216.6 |
| 33.5#78 | ORB% | #30533.4 |
| 37.4#118 | FT rate | #12632.7 |
| 8.6#111 | Block% | #2717.8 |
| 57.0#72 | Assist% | #11149.9 |
| 54.6#68 | 2P% | #33056.1 |
| 34.2#161 | 3P% | #36238.7 |
| 72.7#177 | FT% | — |
| 39.3#185 | 3PA rate | #16140.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northern Arizona
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Idaho St.327 | L 65–73 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Montana St.134 | L 65–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Eastern Washington156 | L 57–88 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Idaho238 | L 58–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Colorado194 | L 77–78 |
Kentucky
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Iowa St.6 | L 63–82 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Santa Clara86 | W 89–84 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Florida2 | L 63–71 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Missouri34 | W 78–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | LSU55 | W 87–82 |
