Model line
Kentucky −24.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Kentucky 100%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Kentucky home
1%Win probability100%
The model makes Kentucky a 24.2-point favorite, winning about 100 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
James Madison offense vs Kentucky defense
| James Madison O | Stat | Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#245 | Tempo | #10269.7 |
| 53.1#97 | eFG% | #5848.8 |
| 17.3#222 | TOV% | #23615.7 |
| 30.6#178 | ORB% | #16430.1 |
| 35.9#154 | FT rate | #22036.3 |
| 11.1#308 | Block% | #2912.8 |
| 48.3#279 | Assist% | #25955.2 |
| 53.2#120 | 2P% | #7949.5 |
| 35.4#95 | 3P% | #5531.8 |
| 70.3#264 | FT% | — |
| 42.5#126 | 3PA rate | #16839.7 |
Kentucky offense vs James Madison defense
| Kentucky O | Stat | James Madison D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#102 | Tempo | #24567.0 |
| 53.3#90 | eFG% | #6749.0 |
| 15.0#62 | TOV% | #36012.8 |
| 33.5#78 | ORB% | #13229.5 |
| 37.4#118 | FT rate | #30940.8 |
| 8.6#111 | Block% | #7211.3 |
| 57.0#72 | Assist% | #2845.5 |
| 54.6#68 | 2P% | #6148.9 |
| 34.2#161 | 3P% | #9832.7 |
| 72.7#177 | FT% | — |
| 39.3#185 | 3PA rate | #22538.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
James Madison
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Southern Miss236 | L 80–86 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Louisiana215 | W 87–72 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Coastal Carolina240 | L 68–69 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Georgia Southern307 | W 82–66 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Georgia St.205 | W 80–65 |
Kentucky
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Iowa St.6 | L 63–82 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Santa Clara86 | W 89–84 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Florida2 | L 63–71 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Missouri34 | W 78–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | LSU55 | W 87–82 |
