Model line
Purdue −9.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Purdue 84%
Projected tempo
69.0
possessions
Site
Purdue home
16%Win probability84%
The model makes Purdue a 9.5-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Indiana offense vs Purdue defense
| Indiana O | Stat | Purdue D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#262 | Tempo | #32365.3 |
| 56.1#22 | eFG% | #23152.3 |
| 15.1#69 | TOV% | #25115.5 |
| 26.9#302 | ORB% | #2226.3 |
| 35.0#180 | FT rate | #825.4 |
| 10.1#246 | Block% | #1949.1 |
| 62.5#13 | Assist% | #31157.8 |
| 60.3#7 | 2P% | #24853.3 |
| 34.7#138 | 3P% | #18334.0 |
| 78.0#18 | FT% | — |
| 50.5#14 | 3PA rate | #3544.7 |
Purdue offense vs Indiana defense
| Purdue O | Stat | Indiana D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#323 | Tempo | #26266.6 |
| 58.1#10 | eFG% | #6649.0 |
| 13.6#17 | TOV% | #27815.1 |
| 36.8#19 | ORB% | #12429.3 |
| 28.3#339 | FT rate | #23837.0 |
| 6.7#14 | Block% | #2957.4 |
| 66.5#4 | Assist% | #8649.0 |
| 58.4#18 | 2P% | #5348.6 |
| 38.5#13 | 3P% | #12633.1 |
| 74.1#128 | FT% | — |
| 40.8#151 | 3PA rate | #26736.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Indiana
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Northwestern85 | L 61–74 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Ohio St.26 | L 78–91 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Minnesota63 | W 77–47 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Michigan St.9 | L 64–77 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Northwestern85 | L 68–72 |
Purdue
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Arizona5 | L 64–79 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Texas10 | W 79–77 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Miami FL13 | W 79–69 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Queens182 | W 104–71 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Michigan24 | W 80–72 |
