Model line
Wisconsin −8.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Wisconsin 82%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Wisconsin home
18%Win probability82%
The model makes Wisconsin a 8.6-point favorite, winning about 82 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Indiana offense vs Wisconsin defense
| Indiana O | Stat | Wisconsin D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#262 | Tempo | #15169.0 |
| 56.1#22 | eFG% | #18351.4 |
| 15.1#69 | TOV% | #32814.3 |
| 26.9#302 | ORB% | #7828.2 |
| 35.0#180 | FT rate | #5629.8 |
| 10.1#246 | Block% | #2228.6 |
| 62.5#13 | Assist% | #14150.8 |
| 60.3#7 | 2P% | #21252.2 |
| 34.7#138 | 3P% | #15033.4 |
| 78.0#18 | FT% | — |
| 50.5#14 | 3PA rate | #14340.6 |
Wisconsin offense vs Indiana defense
| Wisconsin O | Stat | Indiana D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#151 | Tempo | #26266.6 |
| 54.5#54 | eFG% | #6649.0 |
| 12.8#4 | TOV% | #27815.1 |
| 29.1#234 | ORB% | #12429.3 |
| 31.5#268 | FT rate | #23837.0 |
| 12.5#349 | Block% | #2957.4 |
| 57.3#67 | Assist% | #8649.0 |
| 54.7#66 | 2P% | #5348.6 |
| 36.2#51 | 3P% | #12633.1 |
| 78.8#8 | FT% | — |
| 52.1#6 | 3PA rate | #26736.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Indiana
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Northwestern85 | L 61–74 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Ohio St.26 | L 78–91 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Minnesota63 | W 77–47 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Michigan St.9 | L 64–77 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Northwestern85 | L 68–72 |
Wisconsin
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | High Point61 | L 82–83 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Michigan24 | L 65–68 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Illinois7 | W 91–88 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Washington78 | W 85–82 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Purdue29 | W 97–93 |
