Model line
Indiana −14.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Indiana 93%
Projected tempo
69.1
possessions
Site
Indiana home
7%Win probability93%
The model makes Indiana a 14.0-point favorite, winning about 93 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northwestern offense vs Indiana defense
| Northwestern O | Stat | Indiana D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#322 | Tempo | #26266.6 |
| 51.7#164 | eFG% | #6649.0 |
| 13.0#7 | TOV% | #27815.1 |
| 28.1#263 | ORB% | #12429.3 |
| 33.9#213 | FT rate | #23837.0 |
| 6.4#9 | Block% | #2957.4 |
| 65.8#5 | Assist% | #8649.0 |
| 52.9#133 | 2P% | #5348.6 |
| 33.0#230 | 3P% | #12633.1 |
| 75.1#77 | FT% | — |
| 34.0#295 | 3PA rate | #26736.8 |
Indiana offense vs Northwestern defense
| Indiana O | Stat | Northwestern D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#262 | Tempo | #32265.3 |
| 56.1#22 | eFG% | #16151.0 |
| 15.1#69 | TOV% | #12217.5 |
| 26.9#302 | ORB% | #33134.7 |
| 35.0#180 | FT rate | #17234.8 |
| 10.1#246 | Block% | #10910.6 |
| 62.5#13 | Assist% | #36063.8 |
| 60.3#7 | 2P% | #17451.6 |
| 34.7#138 | 3P% | #14433.4 |
| 78.0#18 | FT% | — |
| 50.5#14 | 3PA rate | #15840.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northwestern
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Purdue29 | L 68–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Indiana37 | W 74–61 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Penn St.90 | W 76–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Minnesota63 | L 66–67 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Purdue29 | L 66–70 |
Indiana
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Northwestern85 | L 61–74 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Ohio St.26 | L 78–91 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Minnesota63 | W 77–47 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Michigan St.9 | L 64–77 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Northwestern85 | L 68–72 |
