Model line
Indiana −5.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Indiana 70%
Projected tempo
69.0
possessions
Site
Indiana home
30%Win probability70%
The model makes Indiana a 5.0-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UCLA offense vs Indiana defense
| UCLA O | Stat | Indiana D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#308 | Tempo | #26266.6 |
| 53.6#82 | eFG% | #6649.0 |
| 13.3#11 | TOV% | #27815.1 |
| 31.2#160 | ORB% | #12429.3 |
| 32.8#241 | FT rate | #23837.0 |
| 8.0#60 | Block% | #2957.4 |
| 58.9#45 | Assist% | #8649.0 |
| 51.8#178 | 2P% | #5348.6 |
| 37.9#20 | 3P% | #12633.1 |
| 76.6#40 | FT% | — |
| 35.7#255 | 3PA rate | #26736.8 |
Indiana offense vs UCLA defense
| Indiana O | Stat | UCLA D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#262 | Tempo | #30865.8 |
| 56.1#22 | eFG% | #12050.3 |
| 15.1#69 | TOV% | #8718.3 |
| 26.9#302 | ORB% | #30233.1 |
| 35.0#180 | FT rate | #15734.2 |
| 10.1#246 | Block% | #1489.9 |
| 62.5#13 | Assist% | #35863.1 |
| 60.3#7 | 2P% | #20252.1 |
| 34.7#138 | 3P% | #6632.0 |
| 78.0#18 | FT% | — |
| 50.5#14 | 3PA rate | #3744.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UCLA
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Connecticut3 | L 57–73 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCF58 | W 75–71 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Purdue29 | L 66–73 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Michigan St.9 | W 88–84 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Rutgers75 | W 72–59 |
Indiana
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Northwestern85 | L 61–74 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Ohio St.26 | L 78–91 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Minnesota63 | W 77–47 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Michigan St.9 | L 64–77 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Northwestern85 | L 68–72 |
