Model line
Minnesota −4.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Minnesota 69%
Projected tempo
68.6
possessions
Site
Minnesota home
31%Win probability69%
The model makes Minnesota a 4.8-point favorite, winning about 69 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Indiana offense vs Minnesota defense
| Indiana O | Stat | Minnesota D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#262 | Tempo | #36563.0 |
| 56.1#22 | eFG% | #20551.9 |
| 15.1#69 | TOV% | #14217.1 |
| 26.9#302 | ORB% | #14929.8 |
| 35.0#180 | FT rate | #2527.3 |
| 10.1#246 | Block% | #2488.2 |
| 62.5#13 | Assist% | #34961.4 |
| 60.3#7 | 2P% | #17751.7 |
| 34.7#138 | 3P% | #22934.7 |
| 78.0#18 | FT% | — |
| 50.5#14 | 3PA rate | #10441.7 |
Minnesota offense vs Indiana defense
| Minnesota O | Stat | Indiana D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.0#365 | Tempo | #26266.6 |
| 54.2#63 | eFG% | #6649.0 |
| 16.6#171 | TOV% | #27815.1 |
| 27.2#288 | ORB% | #12429.3 |
| 35.9#155 | FT rate | #23837.0 |
| 12.0#342 | Block% | #2957.4 |
| 72.0#1 | Assist% | #8649.0 |
| 56.0#43 | 2P% | #5348.6 |
| 34.8#130 | 3P% | #12633.1 |
| 70.0#274 | FT% | — |
| 47.1#31 | 3PA rate | #26736.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Indiana
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Northwestern85 | L 61–74 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Ohio St.26 | L 78–91 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Minnesota63 | W 77–47 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Michigan St.9 | L 64–77 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Northwestern85 | L 68–72 |
Minnesota
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Baylor32 | L 48–67 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Rutgers75 | L 67–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Northwestern85 | W 67–66 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Indiana37 | L 47–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UCLA18 | W 78–73 |
