Model line
Indiana −5.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Indiana 71%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Indiana home
29%Win probability71%
The model makes Indiana a 5.2-point favorite, winning about 71 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Michigan offense vs Indiana defense
| Michigan O | Stat | Indiana D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#41 | Tempo | #26266.6 |
| 58.7#6 | eFG% | #6649.0 |
| 16.5#165 | TOV% | #27815.1 |
| 35.0#47 | ORB% | #12429.3 |
| 37.7#109 | FT rate | #23837.0 |
| 9.0#145 | Block% | #2957.4 |
| 61.1#25 | Assist% | #8649.0 |
| 61.5#2 | 2P% | #5348.6 |
| 36.6#36 | 3P% | #12633.1 |
| 74.7#94 | FT% | — |
| 41.7#140 | 3PA rate | #26736.8 |
Indiana offense vs Michigan defense
| Indiana O | Stat | Michigan D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#262 | Tempo | #4171.3 |
| 56.1#22 | eFG% | #345.2 |
| 15.1#69 | TOV% | #26515.3 |
| 26.9#302 | ORB% | #4027.1 |
| 35.0#180 | FT rate | #1526.2 |
| 10.1#246 | Block% | #316.5 |
| 62.5#13 | Assist% | #5447.3 |
| 60.3#7 | 2P% | #444.5 |
| 34.7#138 | 3P% | #3130.8 |
| 78.0#18 | FT% | — |
| 50.5#14 | 3PA rate | #9242.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Michigan
| Mon, Apr 6 | N | Connecticut3 | W 69–63 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Arizona5 | W 91–73 |
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Tennessee11 | W 95–62 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Alabama16 | W 90–77 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Saint Louis60 | W 95–72 |
Indiana
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Northwestern85 | L 61–74 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Ohio St.26 | L 78–91 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Minnesota63 | W 77–47 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Michigan St.9 | L 64–77 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Northwestern85 | L 68–72 |
