Model line
Oregon −4.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Oregon 68%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Oregon home
32%Win probability68%
The model makes Oregon a 4.5-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Indiana offense vs Oregon defense
| Indiana O | Stat | Oregon D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#262 | Tempo | #27066.5 |
| 56.1#22 | eFG% | #15350.9 |
| 15.1#69 | TOV% | #23915.7 |
| 26.9#302 | ORB% | #27432.3 |
| 35.0#180 | FT rate | #10532.0 |
| 10.1#246 | Block% | #5911.7 |
| 62.5#13 | Assist% | #19952.9 |
| 60.3#7 | 2P% | #16651.5 |
| 34.7#138 | 3P% | #14633.4 |
| 78.0#18 | FT% | — |
| 50.5#14 | 3PA rate | #9542.1 |
Oregon offense vs Indiana defense
| Oregon O | Stat | Indiana D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#270 | Tempo | #26266.6 |
| 49.5#266 | eFG% | #6649.0 |
| 17.6#247 | TOV% | #27815.1 |
| 32.3#113 | ORB% | #12429.3 |
| 35.0#181 | FT rate | #23837.0 |
| 9.5#188 | Block% | #2957.4 |
| 59.0#43 | Assist% | #8649.0 |
| 50.5#237 | 2P% | #5348.6 |
| 32.1#277 | 3P% | #12633.1 |
| 73.0#170 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#120 | 3PA rate | #26736.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Indiana
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Northwestern85 | L 61–74 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Ohio St.26 | L 78–91 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Minnesota63 | W 77–47 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Michigan St.9 | L 64–77 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Northwestern85 | L 68–72 |
Oregon
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Maryland46 | L 60–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Washington78 | W 85–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Illinois7 | L 54–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northwestern85 | L 62–63 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wisconsin35 | W 85–71 |
